Race 1B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Abby Featherstone 8.5% 11.5% 12.4% 11.2% 12.3% 12.7% 9.3% 11.8% 6.2% 3.5% 0.6%
Corey Hall 11.0% 9.9% 10.6% 13.0% 10.6% 11.4% 10.9% 9.6% 7.7% 4.7% 0.6%
Emilie Mademann 6.6% 6.9% 8.8% 8.4% 10.5% 10.5% 11.2% 12.6% 12.2% 10.1% 2.2%
Kathryn Metscher 6.6% 6.9% 7.1% 8.3% 8.2% 12.8% 12.4% 11.9% 12.9% 9.6% 3.3%
Sara Burke 6.4% 6.1% 7.1% 8.3% 7.7% 9.7% 9.9% 11.5% 15.3% 14.2% 3.8%
Lauren Burke 5.9% 8.3% 7.5% 9.4% 9.9% 8.8% 11.3% 13.2% 11.8% 10.8% 3.1%
Mary Cummins 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 4.3% 5.3% 5.7% 8.7% 9.2% 15.2% 28.3% 12.1%
Sara Morgan Watters 28.4% 21.4% 16.0% 12.5% 8.2% 6.8% 3.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Emily Billing 9.9% 11.8% 11.3% 11.4% 13.0% 9.5% 11.6% 9.1% 7.6% 3.2% 1.6%
Francesca Ferrero 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 4.7% 12.1% 71.7%
Morgan Wilson 12.6% 12.9% 14.2% 12.2% 12.5% 10.7% 8.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.1% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.