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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.04vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.44+0.08vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.38+1.36vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01-0.01vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.11+0.36vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-1.50-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Rochester Institute of Technology0.4938.6%1st Place
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2.08Queen's University0.4437.2%1st Place
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4.36Syracuse University-1.385.7%1st Place
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3.99Penn State University-1.018.2%1st Place
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5.36Mercyhurst University-2.113.0%1st Place
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5.61Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.251.9%1st Place
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4.55University of Pittsburgh-1.505.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 38.6% | 32.4% | 18.5% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elle Pirie | 37.2% | 32.5% | 19.0% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 5.7% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 10.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.2% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 5.3% |
| Tabea Wieland | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 24.1% | 32.4% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 40.6% |
| Murray Topilow | 5.3% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 21.2% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.