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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+0.84vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.01+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.38+1.64vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.79+0.97vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.38-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-2.26+1.33vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.72-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-2.21vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.97-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Northwestern University1.4950.2%1st Place
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3.67Northeastern University0.0112.0%1st Place
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4.64University of New Hampshire-0.386.9%1st Place
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4.97Salve Regina University-0.795.3%1st Place
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3.09Brown University0.3817.8%1st Place
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7.33University of New Hampshire-2.261.1%1st Place
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6.5Bates College-1.722.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.5%1st Place
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7.16Middlebury College-1.971.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 50.2% | 27.9% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 12.0% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sean Lund | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Charles Case | 17.8% | 24.3% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 39.0% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 17.3% |
| Kai Latham | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 7.6% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 25.4% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.