Race 3A

2023-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Manley 16.9% 23.4% 22.8% 17.5% 12.2% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Eliott Raison 52.6% 27.8% 13.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Patin 7.1% 12.1% 15.2% 17.0% 17.6% 17.5% 10.5% 2.8% 0.1%
Annika Milstien 6.7% 11.0% 13.9% 18.5% 18.6% 18.4% 9.5% 2.8% 0.7%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.0% 11.6% 14.6% 18.1% 18.5% 17.3% 9.3% 3.2% 0.4%
Robert Gates 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 3.5% 5.1% 8.6% 25.4% 31.2% 21.3%
Sydney Alligood 0.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 4.3% 6.7% 22.4% 31.9% 28.1%
Charles Palmer 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 5.2% 12.7% 25.3% 48.9%
Rowan Barnes 7.1% 10.5% 14.2% 16.9% 19.0% 20.1% 9.2% 2.6% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.