← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.41+2.18vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.27+1.49vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.96+1.01vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.57-0.95vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.21-1.38vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.56-1.36vs Predicted
-
7Yale University0.34+0.34vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.03-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.18Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
-
3.49University of Vermont3.270.2%1st Place
-
4.01Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
-
3.05Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
-
3.62Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
4.64Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
7.34Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
-
6.67Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 21.9% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Michael Booker | 17.4% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Max Nickbarg | 22.8% | 22.4% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 14.2% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 14.7% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Foreman | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 20.2% | 66.8% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 11.6% | 46.3% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.