Race 10A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Michael Booker 17.9% 15.5% 20.0% 15.5% 15.9% 11.2% 3.6% 0.4%
Dan Nickerson 19.5% 18.7% 18.1% 18.4% 13.0% 8.8% 3.2% 0.3%
Timothy Harding 8.5% 10.2% 10.1% 13.2% 17.0% 24.9% 13.4% 2.7%
David Liebenberg 14.9% 17.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.4% 13.3% 4.5% 0.4%
Max Nickbarg 23.3% 20.6% 18.7% 14.0% 13.2% 8.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Jordan Bothwick 13.1% 13.8% 13.2% 17.4% 16.8% 17.5% 7.0% 1.2%
Colin Henderson 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 4.9% 9.9% 41.6% 33.5%
Zachary Foreman 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 2.8% 5.7% 25.3% 61.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.