Race 4A

2023-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Manley 16.5% 23.9% 22.9% 16.8% 12.4% 5.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Annika Milstien 7.0% 10.6% 13.8% 17.4% 17.8% 18.3% 11.1% 3.5% 0.4%
Eliott Raison 51.7% 26.8% 14.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Patin 7.3% 10.9% 15.2% 16.0% 19.2% 18.9% 9.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Rowan Barnes 7.0% 12.2% 13.5% 18.2% 18.2% 18.4% 9.1% 2.8% 0.6%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.5% 10.9% 13.2% 18.2% 18.5% 18.5% 10.1% 2.7% 0.4%
Sydney Alligood 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 4.5% 8.0% 21.4% 31.6% 26.1%
Robert Gates 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 4.0% 4.9% 8.2% 22.9% 33.5% 20.9%
Charles Palmer 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 2.9% 3.9% 14.0% 23.5% 51.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.