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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+3.36vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.16-0.26vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.03+1.48vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23+0.45vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.71+1.21vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-2.44+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-1.90-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.18-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.158.4%1st Place
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1.74College of Charleston2.1652.5%1st Place
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4.48North Carolina State University-0.037.2%1st Place
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4.45Clemson University0.236.5%1st Place
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4.41Duke University0.066.9%1st Place
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7.21University of South Carolina-1.710.9%1st Place
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8.01Wake Forest University-2.440.4%1st Place
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7.33University of North Carolina-1.901.0%1st Place
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3.03University of South Carolina1.1816.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Patin | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Eliott Raison | 52.5% | 29.3% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 6.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Gates | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 24.3% | 30.6% | 21.9% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 12.8% | 26.2% | 50.0% |
| Sydney Alligood | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 22.5% | 30.5% | 26.6% |
| David Manley | 16.3% | 25.1% | 23.7% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.