Race 11A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Michael Booker 17.9% 18.7% 18.4% 14.4% 15.6% 11.1% 3.5% 0.4%
Timothy Harding 8.2% 9.0% 10.4% 13.1% 17.8% 24.0% 14.6% 2.9%
David Liebenberg 16.7% 15.3% 16.7% 18.3% 15.6% 12.9% 4.2% 0.3%
Dan Nickerson 19.9% 20.0% 16.3% 16.6% 14.6% 9.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Jordan Bothwick 11.5% 13.4% 16.1% 16.1% 17.1% 18.6% 6.2% 1.0%
Zachary Foreman 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 5.3% 21.2% 65.9%
Max Nickbarg 23.3% 20.4% 18.4% 15.1% 12.7% 7.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Colin Henderson 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 4.7% 4.1% 10.5% 45.9% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.