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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+1.08vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.31vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.03-0.49vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.71+0.07vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.44+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.90-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76College of Charleston2.1653.0%1st Place
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3.08University of South Carolina1.1816.1%1st Place
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4.45Clemson University0.236.6%1st Place
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4.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.6%1st Place
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4.51North Carolina State University-0.035.9%1st Place
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4.44Duke University0.067.3%1st Place
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7.07University of South Carolina-1.711.7%1st Place
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8.01Wake Forest University-2.440.5%1st Place
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7.38University of North Carolina-1.901.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eliott Raison | 53.0% | 27.1% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
David Manley | 16.1% | 24.9% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Rowan Barnes | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
Nicholas Patin | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Annika Milstien | 5.9% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 7.3% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
Robert Gates | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 25.4% | 29.8% | 19.9% |
Charles Palmer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 11.2% | 25.4% | 52.0% |
Sydney Alligood | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 21.8% | 32.6% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.