Race 12A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Jordan Bothwick 11.5% 11.1% 11.1% 14.4% 15.6% 15.8% 15.3% 5.2%
Emily Billing 14.6% 15.2% 14.5% 14.9% 16.3% 12.8% 8.4% 3.3%
Max Nickbarg 20.6% 17.9% 17.7% 13.8% 12.5% 10.8% 5.2% 1.5%
David Liebenberg 13.2% 14.3% 14.8% 14.0% 13.9% 14.1% 12.5% 3.2%
Michael Booker 13.5% 15.6% 15.5% 14.7% 13.1% 14.0% 11.6% 2.0%
Dan Nickerson 18.2% 16.7% 15.3% 15.6% 13.5% 10.5% 8.7% 1.5%
Timothy Harding 7.0% 7.3% 9.1% 10.1% 12.0% 17.1% 25.8% 11.6%
Colin Henderson 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 4.9% 12.5% 71.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.