Race 13A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Max Nickbarg 20.7% 18.7% 18.5% 13.5% 12.1% 9.5% 5.5% 1.5%
Dan Nickerson 16.3% 18.2% 14.6% 15.3% 12.6% 12.9% 8.5% 1.6%
David Liebenberg 13.8% 13.5% 14.8% 14.2% 13.5% 15.6% 10.8% 3.8%
Michael Booker 14.1% 15.4% 13.4% 13.7% 16.2% 13.1% 11.4% 2.7%
Jordan Bothwick 9.8% 10.8% 13.4% 12.7% 14.7% 16.3% 17.1% 5.2%
Emily Billing 16.0% 14.3% 14.5% 16.8% 12.8% 12.2% 11.3% 2.1%
Colin Henderson 2.0% 2.0% 1.7% 2.5% 3.7% 4.8% 10.5% 72.8%
Timothy Harding 7.3% 7.1% 9.1% 11.3% 14.4% 15.6% 24.9% 10.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.