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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+0.79vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+0.99vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+1.39vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+0.39vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.03-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-1.61vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-2.44+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-1.90-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.71-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79College of Charleston2.1652.3%1st Place
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2.99University of South Carolina1.1817.9%1st Place
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4.39Clemson University0.237.7%1st Place
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4.39Duke University0.066.9%1st Place
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4.5North Carolina State University-0.036.6%1st Place
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4.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.156.4%1st Place
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7.99Wake Forest University-2.440.4%1st Place
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7.38University of North Carolina-1.900.8%1st Place
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7.17University of South Carolina-1.711.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eliott Raison | 52.3% | 26.6% | 13.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
David Manley | 17.9% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Rowan Barnes | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 6.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Annika Milstien | 6.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
Nicholas Patin | 6.4% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
Charles Palmer | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 12.3% | 25.8% | 50.5% |
Sydney Alligood | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 21.3% | 33.1% | 26.1% |
Robert Gates | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 25.7% | 28.9% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.