Race 1B

2023-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Felicity Davies 3.4% 2.5% 5.6% 8.3% 11.2% 17.2% 17.9% 19.1% 14.7%
Katie Hanley 32.8% 28.8% 19.1% 12.2% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Connolly 21.1% 20.9% 23.8% 16.9% 10.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Mason Baird 27.5% 25.1% 20.9% 15.2% 8.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Gallant 4.6% 6.8% 9.6% 13.6% 17.4% 18.4% 14.3% 9.9% 5.4%
Campbell Tate 5.4% 6.9% 9.7% 14.4% 20.2% 16.9% 13.9% 9.2% 3.5%
Mary Outland 1.7% 3.0% 3.9% 5.9% 9.7% 12.8% 16.8% 21.1% 25.1%
Matthias Pietrus 1.7% 2.7% 3.0% 5.1% 6.0% 12.2% 16.1% 19.8% 33.4%
Tyler Williams 1.9% 3.2% 4.4% 8.4% 11.7% 14.0% 18.2% 20.3% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.