Race 14A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Max Nickbarg 19.4% 20.4% 17.2% 15.2% 10.6% 10.5% 5.6% 1.1%
Michael Booker 13.7% 15.9% 14.0% 14.4% 14.9% 13.5% 10.8% 2.8%
Dan Nickerson 17.3% 16.1% 14.9% 15.7% 14.7% 11.2% 8.0% 2.1%
David Liebenberg 13.7% 13.8% 13.9% 14.0% 15.3% 14.8% 11.4% 3.1%
Colin Henderson 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 3.3% 5.0% 11.2% 72.6%
Emily Billing 15.1% 15.0% 15.2% 16.0% 15.0% 10.7% 10.8% 2.2%
Jordan Bothwick 11.3% 10.5% 12.1% 12.0% 13.5% 16.5% 18.1% 6.0%
Timothy Harding 7.9% 6.6% 10.2% 10.6% 12.7% 17.8% 24.1% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.