Race 2B

2023-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ian Connolly 19.6% 23.1% 22.2% 17.7% 10.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Thomas Gallant 4.5% 7.2% 9.3% 14.5% 16.8% 18.6% 14.8% 9.0% 5.3%
Katie Hanley 33.4% 28.0% 19.9% 11.2% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Felicity Davies 2.8% 3.5% 4.9% 8.6% 12.2% 16.6% 17.4% 17.9% 16.2%
Mason Baird 28.2% 24.4% 22.8% 14.2% 6.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Campbell Tate 5.1% 6.5% 9.4% 15.2% 17.8% 15.8% 15.5% 10.2% 4.4%
Matthias Pietrus 2.2% 1.9% 3.4% 5.5% 8.2% 10.8% 15.2% 20.8% 31.9%
Tyler Williams 2.6% 2.6% 4.0% 6.7% 12.3% 16.1% 17.8% 20.3% 17.4%
Mary Outland 1.6% 2.8% 4.2% 6.4% 9.7% 13.0% 16.4% 21.1% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.