Race 1 - emma-biagioni | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%

Within 2 Positions

3.8

Avg Position Diff

7

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Bill Weiland & Andrew Lauten

Michigan State University

1.36

+0.26

vs Predicted
2

Bill Weiland & Andrew Lauten

Michigan State University

1.36

-0.74

vs Predicted
3

Bill Weiland & Andrew Lauten

Michigan State University

1.36

-1.74

vs Predicted
6

Evan Rodgers & Mitchell Gage

Hope College

0.40

-4.26

vs Predicted
7

Bill Weiland & Andrew Lauten

Michigan State University

1.36

-5.74

vs Predicted
8

Evan Rodgers & Mitchell Gage

Hope College

0.40

-6.26

vs Predicted
9

Evan Rodgers & Mitchell Gage

Hope College

0.40

-7.26

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.26

Bill Weiland & Andrew Lauten

Michigan State University

1.36

0.7%

1st Place
1.26

Bill Weiland & Andrew Lauten

Michigan State University

1.36

0.7%

1st Place
1.26

Bill Weiland & Andrew Lauten

Michigan State University

1.36

0.7%

1st Place
1.74

Evan Rodgers & Mitchell Gage

Hope College

0.40

0.3%

1st Place
1.26

Bill Weiland & Andrew Lauten

Michigan State University

1.36

0.7%

1st Place
1.74

Evan Rodgers & Mitchell Gage

Hope College

0.40

0.3%

1st Place
1.74

Evan Rodgers & Mitchell Gage

Hope College

0.40

0.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Bill Weiland	74.1%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Bill Weiland	74.1%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Bill Weiland	74.1%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Evan Rodgers	25.9%	74.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Bill Weiland	74.1%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Evan Rodgers	25.9%	74.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Evan Rodgers	25.9%	74.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.