Race 3B

2023-carolina

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mason Baird 27.3% 24.2% 22.1% 15.8% 7.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Thomas Gallant 5.1% 7.3% 8.5% 13.9% 17.2% 19.6% 14.1% 9.8% 4.5%
Katie Hanley 34.5% 28.1% 20.0% 10.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Connolly 19.7% 20.6% 25.0% 17.2% 10.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Campbell Tate 5.0% 8.3% 9.2% 14.5% 19.5% 17.5% 13.9% 8.6% 3.5%
Felicity Davies 3.0% 4.0% 4.1% 8.5% 11.6% 16.1% 17.8% 18.9% 16.1%
Mary Outland 1.9% 2.5% 4.0% 6.0% 9.2% 12.4% 16.7% 21.1% 26.2%
Tyler Williams 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 8.3% 11.9% 15.2% 18.6% 19.6% 17.0%
Matthias Pietrus 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 5.2% 8.3% 10.4% 15.6% 21.2% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.