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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.80+1.48vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.26+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-1.11+2.63vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.58-1.14vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.42-1.62vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.99-1.54vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.01-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.19-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48College of Charleston0.8031.2%1st Place
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3.23Duke University0.2618.8%1st Place
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5.63University of South Carolina-1.114.8%1st Place
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2.86Clemson University0.5823.6%1st Place
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6.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.482.5%1st Place
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4.38University of South Carolina-0.429.8%1st Place
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5.46North Carolina State University-0.995.1%1st Place
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7.15Wake Forest University-2.012.2%1st Place
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7.32University of North Carolina-2.191.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hanley | 31.2% | 27.0% | 19.1% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 18.8% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Gallant | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 5.9% |
| Mason Baird | 23.6% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 19.1% |
| Taylor May | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Campbell Tate | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 5.1% |
| Mary Outland | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 24.0% | 31.7% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.