Race 5B

2023-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Felicity Davies 2.6% 3.0% 5.0% 6.0% 9.1% 14.1% 20.0% 21.6% 18.6%
Thomas Gallant 4.9% 5.8% 8.1% 11.6% 13.4% 19.3% 16.6% 12.8% 7.5%
Ian Connolly 18.6% 18.9% 20.6% 18.3% 13.3% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Katie Hanley 32.1% 26.6% 18.7% 12.2% 6.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Campbell Tate 5.5% 5.8% 8.2% 11.5% 14.6% 17.9% 18.4% 13.4% 4.7%
Taylor May 9.2% 9.7% 13.5% 15.7% 20.4% 15.7% 10.4% 4.3% 1.2%
Mary Outland 1.4% 2.5% 3.0% 5.8% 7.6% 11.5% 16.3% 22.4% 29.5%
Matthias Pietrus 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 3.8% 5.8% 8.9% 13.1% 23.9% 38.2%
Mason Baird 24.1% 25.6% 20.5% 15.2% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.