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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.38+2.06vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49-0.15vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.01+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.80vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.79-0.06vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.97+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.45vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.72-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.26-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Brown University0.3818.8%1st Place
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1.85Northwestern University1.4949.2%1st Place
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3.66Northeastern University0.0111.5%1st Place
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5.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.3%1st Place
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4.94Salve Regina University-0.795.2%1st Place
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7.13Middlebury College-1.971.7%1st Place
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4.55University of New Hampshire-0.386.9%1st Place
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6.51Bates College-1.722.4%1st Place
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7.5University of New Hampshire-2.261.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 18.8% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 49.2% | 27.2% | 15.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 11.5% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 7.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 23.7% | 29.8% |
| Sean Lund | 6.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 17.0% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 22.8% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.