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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.58+1.84vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston0.80+0.48vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.26+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-1.11+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-0.42-0.58vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.99-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.19-0.65vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University-2.01-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Clemson University0.5823.3%1st Place
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2.48College of Charleston0.8031.4%1st Place
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3.26Duke University0.2618.6%1st Place
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5.55University of South Carolina-1.114.8%1st Place
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4.42University of South Carolina-0.429.8%1st Place
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5.43North Carolina State University-0.995.5%1st Place
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6.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.483.0%1st Place
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7.35University of North Carolina-2.191.6%1st Place
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7.13Wake Forest University-2.011.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 23.3% | 24.8% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katie Hanley | 31.4% | 27.0% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connolly | 18.6% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Gallant | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
| Taylor May | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Campbell Tate | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 4.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 22.0% | 17.8% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 21.6% | 38.8% |
| Mary Outland | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 24.4% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.