← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.58+1.83vs Predicted
-
2University of South Carolina-1.11+3.54vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston0.80-0.50vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina-0.42+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Duke University0.26-1.87vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina-2.19+1.30vs Predicted
-
7Wake Forest University-2.01+0.12vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.41vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University-0.99-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83Clemson University0.5825.4%1st Place
-
5.54University of South Carolina-1.115.1%1st Place
-
2.5College of Charleston0.8031.6%1st Place
-
4.42University of South Carolina-0.428.8%1st Place
-
3.13Duke University0.2618.2%1st Place
-
7.3University of North Carolina-2.191.5%1st Place
-
7.12Wake Forest University-2.011.5%1st Place
-
6.59University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.482.5%1st Place
-
5.57North Carolina State University-0.995.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 25.4% | 22.8% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Gallant | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Katie Hanley | 31.6% | 25.8% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor May | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Ian Connolly | 18.2% | 22.5% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 22.8% | 36.9% |
| Mary Outland | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 25.1% | 28.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| Campbell Tate | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.