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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+3.25vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.30-0.02vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13+1.01vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91+1.29vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.44-0.56vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.99-0.45vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.70vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.39-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1710.1%1st Place
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1.98Webb Institute1.3047.3%1st Place
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4.01Columbia University-0.1310.4%1st Place
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5.29American University-0.916.1%1st Place
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4.44Monmouth University-0.448.8%1st Place
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5.55Syracuse University-0.994.1%1st Place
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4.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.2810.1%1st Place
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6.18Rutgers University-1.393.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunrae Sturmer | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 47.3% | 25.5% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 10.4% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 16.6% |
| Patrick Cashin | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
| Collin Ross | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 23.4% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.