← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University-0.13+2.96vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+2.24vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University-0.44+1.48vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.30-1.98vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.75vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-0.99-0.42vs Predicted
-
7American University-0.91-1.66vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-1.39-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96Columbia University-0.1313.2%1st Place
-
4.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1710.7%1st Place
-
4.48Monmouth University-0.447.4%1st Place
-
2.02Webb Institute1.3043.8%1st Place
-
4.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.2810.1%1st Place
-
5.58Syracuse University-0.995.5%1st Place
-
5.34American University-0.915.2%1st Place
-
6.12Rutgers University-1.394.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 7.4% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 43.8% | 28.2% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% |
| Collin Ross | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 21.9% |
| Anika Liner | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| Kate Faranetta | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.