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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+0.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.38+1.16vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.01+0.76vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.97+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.41vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.79-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-2.26-0.55vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.72-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Northwestern University1.4950.2%1st Place
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3.16Brown University0.3815.7%1st Place
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3.76Northeastern University0.0111.6%1st Place
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7.09Middlebury College-1.971.5%1st Place
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4.59University of New Hampshire-0.387.4%1st Place
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4.9Salve Regina University-0.796.3%1st Place
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5.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.8%1st Place
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7.45University of New Hampshire-2.261.2%1st Place
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6.5Bates College-1.722.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 50.2% | 27.5% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 15.7% | 24.1% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 11.6% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 31.8% |
| Sean Lund | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Kai Latham | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 24.1% | 39.2% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 22.7% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.