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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+0.92vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+1.28vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.39+2.21vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.99+0.54vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.13-2.00vs Predicted
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7American University-0.91-1.71vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.44-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Webb Institute1.3048.1%1st Place
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4.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.2810.2%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.179.7%1st Place
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6.21Rutgers University-1.393.4%1st Place
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5.54Syracuse University-0.993.9%1st Place
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4.0Columbia University-0.1311.1%1st Place
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5.29American University-0.915.3%1st Place
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4.47Monmouth University-0.448.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 48.1% | 27.4% | 14.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 9.7% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 38.9% |
| Collin Ross | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 21.8% |
| Chase O'Malley | 11.1% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Anika Liner | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| Patrick Cashin | 8.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.