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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+0.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+2.25vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.99+2.51vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.13+0.01vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.69vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-0.74vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.44-2.48vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.39-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Webb Institute1.3047.9%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.179.0%1st Place
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5.51Syracuse University-0.995.1%1st Place
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4.01Columbia University-0.1311.1%1st Place
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4.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.289.8%1st Place
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5.26American University-0.916.6%1st Place
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4.52Monmouth University-0.447.8%1st Place
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6.2Rutgers University-1.392.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 47.9% | 26.1% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 9.0% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Collin Ross | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
| Chase O'Malley | 11.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Strein | 9.8% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Anika Liner | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.