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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+6.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.52vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+3.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71-0.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.15vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.88+1.08vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+0.27vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.36+1.24vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+0.71vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-2.84vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-2.61vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.60vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-6.62vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.03-5.66vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.32-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.52Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.95Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.24Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.44Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.38Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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11.34Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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15.71Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Alex Cook | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 7.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Ian Towill | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 6.9% |
| Edward Moan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.