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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+0.93vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.40vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.99+2.58vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91+1.31vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.13-0.99vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.44-1.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17-2.80vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.39-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Webb Institute1.3046.4%1st Place
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4.4SUNY Stony Brook-0.2810.0%1st Place
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5.58Syracuse University-0.994.4%1st Place
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5.31American University-0.915.3%1st Place
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4.01Columbia University-0.1311.0%1st Place
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4.39Monmouth University-0.449.2%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1710.6%1st Place
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6.19Rutgers University-1.393.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 46.4% | 28.8% | 14.9% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 6.3% |
| Collin Ross | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 22.2% |
| Anika Liner | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 11.0% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.