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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.77vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.16+8.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.71vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+4.26vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.63vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+0.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.78vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-0.77vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-4.95vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-0.79vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-2.60vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.63-4.87vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-7.50vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.32-0.43vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.72vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.74Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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5.05Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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15.57Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.34Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 3.9% |
| William Haeger | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Graham Landy | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Colin Smith | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Cook | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 3.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Edward Moan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 68.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 5.4% |
| Ian Towill | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.