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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+0.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+2.32vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.99+2.59vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.30vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.44-0.56vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-0.80vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.13-3.03vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.39-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Webb Institute1.3045.9%1st Place
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4.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.179.7%1st Place
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5.59Syracuse University-0.994.3%1st Place
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4.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.289.7%1st Place
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4.44Monmouth University-0.449.0%1st Place
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5.2American University-0.916.0%1st Place
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3.97Columbia University-0.1312.2%1st Place
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6.21Rutgers University-1.393.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 45.9% | 27.6% | 15.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Collin Ross | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 19.8% |
| Brendan Strein | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| Chase O'Malley | 12.2% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.