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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+0.97vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+1.24vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.44+0.49vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.99+0.57vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.13-2.02vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.39-0.79vs Predicted
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8American University-0.91-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Webb Institute1.3046.5%1st Place
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4.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.2810.5%1st Place
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4.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.179.4%1st Place
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4.49Monmouth University-0.448.5%1st Place
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5.57Syracuse University-0.995.3%1st Place
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3.98Columbia University-0.1310.4%1st Place
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6.21Rutgers University-1.393.2%1st Place
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5.25American University-0.916.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 46.5% | 27.4% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 9.4% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Cashin | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
| Collin Ross | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 21.4% | 21.3% |
| Chase O'Malley | 10.4% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 39.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.