← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.88+6.81vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.71+2.94vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.98+3.69vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College4.05+2.43vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.03+5.10vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.55-1.18vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College3.52+1.53vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.16+1.58vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont3.63-0.73vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University3.26-0.69vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University4.08-4.49vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University3.36-2.94vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College3.78-5.41vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.05-3.64vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.76vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-8.95vs Predicted
-
18Bates College1.32-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.81Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
4.94Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
-
7.69Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
7.43Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
11.1Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
5.82Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.53Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
-
10.58Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
9.27University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
-
10.31Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
-
7.51Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.06Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
-
8.59Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
11.36University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
15.72Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ian Towill | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 6.8% |
| Graham Landy | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 5.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Edward Moan | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.