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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+6.85vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.05+9.13vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.99vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+6.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+0.02vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+3.56vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26+3.42vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-2.47vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-0.34vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.10vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-3.23vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.03-0.79vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-2.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-6.57vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-7.61vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.32-0.28vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.83Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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5.02Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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9.56Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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5.53Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.21Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.17Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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15.72Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 5.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 5.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Graham Landy | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Colin Smith | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ian Towill | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 6.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Edward Moan | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 69.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.