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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.44+3.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+2.54vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01+0.90vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.13+0.28vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.30-2.94vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.39vs Predicted
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7American University-0.91-1.51vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.39-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Monmouth University-0.447.6%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.178.8%1st Place
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3.9Syracuse University0.0112.7%1st Place
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4.28Columbia University-0.1310.3%1st Place
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2.06Webb Institute1.3044.4%1st Place
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4.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.288.3%1st Place
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5.49American University-0.915.0%1st Place
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6.36Rutgers University-1.392.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 12.7% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Chase O'Malley | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 44.4% | 26.0% | 15.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| Anika Liner | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 20.5% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.