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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+7.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+4.76vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.84vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-0.98vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98-1.47vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+0.38vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-3.65vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-1.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.07vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-2.91vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-5.32vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.03-4.93vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.32-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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5.28Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.02Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.14Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.53Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.68Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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15.61Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Graham Landy | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Colin Smith | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 9.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Ian Towill | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| Edward Moan | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.