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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.13+3.28vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.60vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30-0.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+0.48vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.44-0.29vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.39+0.34vs Predicted
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7American University-0.91-1.45vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.01-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Columbia University-0.1310.2%1st Place
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4.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.288.2%1st Place
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2.06Webb Institute1.3044.8%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.178.8%1st Place
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4.71Monmouth University-0.448.0%1st Place
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6.34Rutgers University-1.392.6%1st Place
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5.55American University-0.915.5%1st Place
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3.98Syracuse University0.0112.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 10.2% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Brendan Strein | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 8.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 44.8% | 25.2% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 7.7% |
| Patrick Cashin | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 9.2% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 43.0% |
| Anika Liner | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 22.4% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 12.0% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.