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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+9.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.04vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+4.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+3.10vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71-0.23vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+1.59vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-1.61vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.53vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52+0.31vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-1.95vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-0.78vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.16-1.49vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.19vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.11vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-6.26vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.32-1.41vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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4.77Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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8.05Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.74Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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15.59Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.01Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alex Cook | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| William Haeger | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 8.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Edward Moan | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 65.7% |
| Ian Towill | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.