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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+1.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.17+2.48vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01+0.91vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.44+0.82vs Predicted
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5American University-0.91+0.50vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.13-1.74vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.40vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.39-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Webb Institute1.3043.7%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.179.0%1st Place
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3.91Syracuse University0.0112.5%1st Place
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4.82Monmouth University-0.448.0%1st Place
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5.5American University-0.915.0%1st Place
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4.26Columbia University-0.1310.1%1st Place
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4.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.288.6%1st Place
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6.34Rutgers University-1.393.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 43.7% | 26.4% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 6.9% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 12.5% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 10.3% |
| Anika Liner | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 21.4% |
| Chase O'Malley | 10.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Strein | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 8.3% |
| Kate Faranetta | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.