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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.45vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.27+2.13vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-0.72+1.74vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+0.95vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.50vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.19-2.54vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-1.98-0.53vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.85-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Webb Institute1.7366.3%1st Place
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4.13Columbia University-0.275.8%1st Place
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4.74Rutgers University-0.724.1%1st Place
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4.95SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.5%1st Place
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3.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.119.7%1st Place
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3.46Syracuse University0.199.2%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University-1.980.9%1st Place
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7.29Monmouth University-2.850.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 66.3% | 25.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 5.8% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 4.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 22.3% | 13.4% | 3.4% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 3.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 3.8% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 9.7% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 22.0% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.2% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 40.1% | 25.6% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 18.8% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.