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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.45vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.27+2.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+0.56vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.19-0.58vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.72-0.28vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-1.09vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-1.98-0.49vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.85-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Webb Institute1.7367.6%1st Place
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4.15Columbia University-0.275.2%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.119.0%1st Place
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3.42Syracuse University0.199.3%1st Place
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4.72Rutgers University-0.724.2%1st Place
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4.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.4%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University-1.980.9%1st Place
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7.28Monmouth University-2.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 67.6% | 23.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 5.2% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 9.0% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.3% | 22.2% | 23.4% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 4.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 13.6% | 2.9% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 3.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 24.2% | 16.2% | 3.3% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 40.8% | 26.1% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 18.2% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.