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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+7.54vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+8.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.34vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.46vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.94vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+3.30vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.09vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.16+2.25vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.03+2.18vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-3.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.18vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-7.07vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-3.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.28vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.88-9.17vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.32-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.46Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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8.09Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.18Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.93Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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15.61Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Colin Smith | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Ian Towill | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.8% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 8.7% |
| Alex Cook | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Edward Moan | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 11.6% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.