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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.16+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70-0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.64-0.17vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.00-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Northwestern University0.1632.8%1st Place
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1.9University of Wisconsin0.7042.0%1st Place
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2.83University of Michigan-0.6414.4%1st Place
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3.16Purdue University-1.0010.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Grace Bray | 32.8% | 32.6% | 25.7% | 8.9% |
Mary Castellini | 42.0% | 32.6% | 18.9% | 6.5% |
Katherine Simcoe | 14.4% | 20.6% | 32.1% | 32.8% |
Kellie Keane | 10.8% | 14.1% | 23.2% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.