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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.78vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+6.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+3.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+6.02vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+3.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.88+1.04vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36+1.82vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16+2.06vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-1.09vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-0.47vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-4.57vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.71-7.78vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.32+1.68vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-9.37vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.08-9.61vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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8.04Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.82Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.06Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.22Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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15.68Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.63Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.38Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 6.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Alex Cook | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 69.4% |
| Graham Landy | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian Towill | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.