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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.40vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+2.74vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19+0.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-0.65vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.27-1.09vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.87+0.02vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-1.98-0.81vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.85-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.4Webb Institute1.7369.5%1st Place
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4.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.682.8%1st Place
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3.29Syracuse University0.1910.4%1st Place
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3.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.118.6%1st Place
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3.91Columbia University-0.275.5%1st Place
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6.02Rutgers University-1.871.4%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University-1.981.1%1st Place
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7.1Monmouth University-2.850.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 69.5% | 22.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 2.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 24.6% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 2.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 10.4% | 22.9% | 24.9% | 20.4% | 13.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.6% | 22.4% | 25.9% | 21.1% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Yuen | 5.5% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 1.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 22.0% | 30.3% | 18.1% |
| Thomas Clauson | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 21.9% | 31.4% | 20.5% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.