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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.43vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+1.46vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.27+1.17vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+0.97vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University-1.98+1.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-2.52vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.85+0.25vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.72-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Webb Institute1.7368.2%1st Place
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3.46Syracuse University0.199.0%1st Place
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4.17Columbia University-0.276.1%1st Place
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4.97SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University-1.981.5%1st Place
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3.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.117.9%1st Place
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7.25Monmouth University-2.850.4%1st Place
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4.82Rutgers University-0.723.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rayne Duff | 68.2% | 23.1% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alexa Whitman | 9.0% | 21.6% | 24.1% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
Alexander Yuen | 6.1% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
Jessica Schaefer | 3.1% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 24.6% | 16.1% | 4.0% |
Thomas Clauson | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 39.2% | 25.9% |
Charlie Lawrence | 7.9% | 22.4% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 18.6% | 64.6% |
Anish Jayewardene | 3.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 24.1% | 13.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.