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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.63vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+7.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+4.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.57vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+1.00vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-0.03vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.76vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.87+1.15vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-3.02vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.55-0.40vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-5.06vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-3.64vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.54vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.12-10.32vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-5.40vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.65-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.97Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.68Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.6Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.31Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| William Hutchings | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Philip Crain | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| Raul Rios | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% |
| Samuel Scribner | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.