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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.61vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.90+8.09vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+3.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+7.49vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+3.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+0.99vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-0.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-3.20vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-1.28vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-0.30vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.69-5.77vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-3.43vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.49-6.85vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-1.80vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.87-6.60vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.88-11.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.09Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.8Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.7Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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14.2Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| William Macdonald | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
| William Hutchings | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Philip Crain | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 16.4% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Scribner | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 40.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.