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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.43vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+1.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+0.49vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+0.96vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.27-0.81vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.72-1.31vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-1.98-0.56vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.85-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Webb Institute1.7368.3%1st Place
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3.5Syracuse University0.198.8%1st Place
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3.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.118.2%1st Place
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4.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.6%1st Place
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4.19Columbia University-0.275.0%1st Place
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4.69Rutgers University-0.724.5%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University-1.981.1%1st Place
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7.29Monmouth University-2.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 68.3% | 22.4% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 8.8% | 21.4% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.2% | 21.9% | 22.4% | 21.5% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 3.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 15.9% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Yuen | 5.0% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 4.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 11.9% | 3.3% |
| Thomas Clauson | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 39.7% | 26.6% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 20.3% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.