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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.65vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+5.88vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+2.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+2.04vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84+4.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-0.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+0.25vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+0.97vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-3.86vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.87-0.60vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-0.52vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.90-2.68vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.55-2.34vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-8.18vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-1.74vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.71Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.66Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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9.97Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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11.48Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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14.26Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Philip Crain | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| William Macdonald | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 39.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.