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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+1.48vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19+0.43vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.72+0.70vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-0.09vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.27-1.81vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-1.98-0.51vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.85-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Webb Institute1.7366.1%1st Place
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3.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.119.3%1st Place
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3.43Syracuse University0.199.7%1st Place
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4.7Rutgers University-0.723.9%1st Place
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4.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.5%1st Place
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4.19Columbia University-0.276.0%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University-1.981.1%1st Place
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7.34Monmouth University-2.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 66.1% | 24.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 9.3% | 20.4% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.7% | 22.1% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 13.2% | 2.6% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 3.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 24.6% | 15.5% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Yuen | 6.0% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Clauson | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 40.2% | 26.8% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 20.0% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.