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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.45vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+1.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+0.51vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.72+0.77vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+0.02vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.27-1.90vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-1.98-0.52vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.85-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Webb Institute1.7366.8%1st Place
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3.4Syracuse University0.199.6%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.118.8%1st Place
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4.77Rutgers University-0.723.6%1st Place
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5.02SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.1%1st Place
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4.1Columbia University-0.276.8%1st Place
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6.48Georgetown University-1.980.8%1st Place
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7.28Monmouth University-2.850.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 66.8% | 23.9% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.6% | 23.4% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.8% | 19.8% | 22.6% | 22.4% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.6% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 22.8% | 13.6% | 2.9% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 3.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 25.1% | 17.5% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 6.8% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 14.6% | 38.0% | 27.1% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 19.2% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.