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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+1.51vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.19+0.40vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.27+0.17vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.72-0.17vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-1.09vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.85+0.32vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University-1.98-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42Webb Institute1.7367.8%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.118.9%1st Place
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3.4Syracuse University0.199.3%1st Place
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4.17Columbia University-0.275.6%1st Place
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4.83Rutgers University-0.723.6%1st Place
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4.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.683.6%1st Place
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7.32Monmouth University-2.850.2%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University-1.980.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 67.8% | 23.7% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 8.9% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 21.4% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.3% | 22.8% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Yuen | 5.6% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 14.1% | 3.6% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 3.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 20.9% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 3.8% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 19.0% | 66.2% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 40.2% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.