← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.95+5.01vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.92+4.16vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.69+4.09vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+2.80vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.06vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.80+0.90vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.90+3.18vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.37+0.18vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.00+0.96vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.88-3.60vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.79-4.05vs Predicted
-
12Bates College1.65+2.21vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.49-4.91vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.54-2.34vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.84-5.59vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.55-5.42vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.87-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.01Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
6.16Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
7.09Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
12.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
6.9Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
10.18Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.18Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.96Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
6.4Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
6.95Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
14.21Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
-
8.09Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.66Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
10.41Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
11.58University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.37University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Philip Crain | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 14.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| William Hutchings | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 42.5% |
| Scott Houck | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.