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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+0.44vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+1.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+0.52vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.27+0.16vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-0.03vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-1.98+0.46vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.72-2.21vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.85-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Webb Institute1.7367.4%1st Place
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3.33Syracuse University0.1910.2%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.119.1%1st Place
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4.16Columbia University-0.275.7%1st Place
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4.97SUNY Stony Brook-0.682.9%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University-1.980.9%1st Place
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4.79Rutgers University-0.723.2%1st Place
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7.34Monmouth University-2.850.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 67.4% | 23.1% | 8.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 10.2% | 23.2% | 24.3% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 9.1% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Yuen | 5.7% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 7.3% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 2.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 15.2% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 40.4% | 24.3% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 13.4% | 3.1% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 19.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.