← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.30+1.02vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.46vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.67+4.54vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.90+2.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.81+1.79vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University0.74+2.29vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.00vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.68-0.54vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.56+1.25vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-2.89vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.43vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-3.83vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University-0.19-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02Stanford University3.3045.8%1st Place
-
4.46University of California at Los Angeles1.7910.8%1st Place
-
7.54Western Washington University0.674.0%1st Place
-
6.72University of Southern California0.904.2%1st Place
-
6.79University of Washington0.815.1%1st Place
-
8.29Arizona State University0.742.2%1st Place
-
5.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.2%1st Place
-
7.46University of California at San Diego0.683.7%1st Place
-
10.25University of California at Berkeley-0.561.5%1st Place
-
7.11California Poly Maritime Academy0.864.8%1st Place
-
7.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.2%1st Place
-
8.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.5%1st Place
-
9.62San Diego State University-0.191.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 45.8% | 27.7% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 10.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Noah Barton | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 35.4% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.4% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.