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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+4.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+3.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+3.97vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+1.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.44vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+4.51vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.91vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-2.35vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.00-0.30vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90-0.75vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-1.61vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.87-2.59vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.65+0.30vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.55-4.53vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.37-8.60vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.69-10.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.57Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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14.3Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Crain | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Bailey | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 16.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| William Macdonald | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Samuel Scribner | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 42.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.