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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.97vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30-1.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.68+3.42vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.81+0.98vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+0.08vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.67-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.38vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.74-1.68vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.56-1.65vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.19-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44University of California at Los Angeles1.7911.6%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.4%1st Place
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1.99Stanford University3.3046.7%1st Place
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7.42University of California at San Diego0.684.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Southern California0.904.7%1st Place
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6.98University of Washington0.814.0%1st Place
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7.08California Poly Maritime Academy0.864.2%1st Place
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7.61Western Washington University0.673.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.1%1st Place
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8.32Arizona State University0.742.9%1st Place
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8.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Berkeley-0.561.5%1st Place
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9.42San Diego State University-0.191.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 11.6% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 46.7% | 27.5% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 37.3% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.