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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+6.70vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+4.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.90+6.19vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.34vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37+2.13vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-0.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-1.55vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-2.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-2.63vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-4.30vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-0.38vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.00-3.26vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.55-2.41vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.65-0.70vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.81vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.87-6.58vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.84-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.16Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.19Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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6.45Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.62Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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14.3Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| William Bailey | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| William Macdonald | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Philip Crain | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% |
| Samuel Scribner | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 42.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 14.3% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.