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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+0.83vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.64+0.85vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.16-0.86vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.00-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83University of Wisconsin0.7044.3%1st Place
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2.85University of Michigan-0.6414.0%1st Place
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2.14Northwestern University0.1631.9%1st Place
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3.17Purdue University-1.009.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 44.3% | 33.1% | 17.4% | 5.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 14.0% | 19.8% | 33.2% | 33.1% |
| Grace Bray | 31.9% | 32.7% | 24.7% | 10.8% |
| Kellie Keane | 9.9% | 14.4% | 24.6% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.