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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+6.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+2.19vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+6.97vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.55+6.34vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+1.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.34vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49-0.17vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-1.97vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+1.51vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.92-4.46vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-5.39vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.90-2.60vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-4.00vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-8.69vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.65-2.69vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.84-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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5.19Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.97Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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14.31Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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10.55Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Crain | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| Scott Houck | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.7% |
| William Bailey | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| William Macdonald | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 41.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.