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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.64vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+7.86vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.55+8.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+3.00vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+5.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30-0.67vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-0.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.04vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.65+5.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.37-1.65vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.92-4.40vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.71-2.11vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-3.59vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.49-6.81vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.88-9.42vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-5.36vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.79-11.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.86Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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14.4Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.89Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% |
| Philip Crain | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 13.3% |
| Samuel Scribner | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 42.2% |
| William Hutchings | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| William Bailey | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.