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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+4.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.21vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.86vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+7.50vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.65+9.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+1.46vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-1.66vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84+1.64vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.00-0.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.44vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.90-1.78vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-4.87vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-7.03vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-8.13vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-4.34vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.71-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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14.12Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.96Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 39.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Hutchings | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| William Bailey | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 18.9% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Philip Crain | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Charles Nunn | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.