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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University2.71+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.96+2.33vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy1.38+2.45vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.50+1.03vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University1.25+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.52-0.93vs Predicted
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7Amherst College1.69-2.31vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.85vs Predicted
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10McGill University1.06-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
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4.33University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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5.45Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
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5.03Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.5Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.07University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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4.69Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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6.04McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McGlynn | 31.4% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Andrew McHenry | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.7% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
| Jared Dunn | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% |
| Will Humphrey | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% |
| Johannes Raatz | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 23.9% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.