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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.81+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+1.83vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.67+1.51vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.19+2.58vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.68-1.56vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.74-1.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.37vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-4.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.56-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Stanford University3.3049.5%1st Place
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4.5University of California at Los Angeles1.7911.3%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.447.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Washington0.814.9%1st Place
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6.83University of Southern California0.904.5%1st Place
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7.51Western Washington University0.674.3%1st Place
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9.58San Diego State University-0.191.8%1st Place
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7.01California Poly Maritime Academy0.863.9%1st Place
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7.44University of California at San Diego0.683.6%1st Place
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8.35Arizona State University0.741.7%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.8%1st Place
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7.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.8%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Berkeley-0.561.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 49.5% | 26.6% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 11.3% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 7.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 22.8% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Noah Barton | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.