← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Connecticut1.96+3.18vs Predicted
-
2Brandeis University1.25+3.87vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy1.38+2.41vs Predicted
-
4Wesleyan University2.71-1.29vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99+1.02vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College1.50-1.96vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College1.69-3.32vs Predicted
-
10McGill University1.06-3.96vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire1.52-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.18University of Connecticut1.960.2%1st Place
-
5.87Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.41Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
-
2.71Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
-
6.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.04Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
-
4.68Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.04McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
-
5.05University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rottier | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Jared Dunn | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.1% |
| John McGlynn | 29.6% | 26.6% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 23.3% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Johannes Raatz | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 22.6% |
| Will Humphrey | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.