← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Maine Maritime Academy1.38+4.37vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.52+3.28vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College1.50+2.16vs Predicted
-
4Amherst College1.69+0.56vs Predicted
-
5Wesleyan University2.71-2.31vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut1.96-1.94vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.76vs Predicted
-
8Brandeis University1.25-2.36vs Predicted
-
10McGill University1.06-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.37Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
-
5.28University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
-
5.16Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
-
4.56Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
-
2.69Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
-
4.06University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
-
6.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.64Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.99McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew McHenry | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% |
| Will Humphrey | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Johannes Raatz | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| John McGlynn | 34.6% | 22.4% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 22.5% |
| Jared Dunn | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 16.6% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.