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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University2.71+1.76vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.52+3.24vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.50+2.19vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy1.38+1.24vs Predicted
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5Amherst College1.69-0.44vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University1.25-0.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.96-4.83vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.06-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
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5.24University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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5.19Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.24Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
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4.56Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.62Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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6.02McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McGlynn | 30.2% | 23.7% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Will Humphrey | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% |
| Johannes Raatz | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Jared Dunn | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 21.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.