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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.96+3.14vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy1.38+3.58vs Predicted
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3Amherst College1.69+1.74vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University2.71-1.30vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.52-0.06vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.50-0.97vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-0.78vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University1.25-2.37vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.06-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Connecticut1.960.2%1st Place
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5.58Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
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4.74Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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2.7Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
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4.94University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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5.03Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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5.63Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.01McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rottier | 15.4% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
| Johannes Raatz | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| John McGlynn | 29.7% | 26.8% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Humphrey | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 22.4% |
| Jared Dunn | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.