← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brandeis University1.25+4.64vs Predicted
-
2Amherst College1.69+2.89vs Predicted
-
3University of Connecticut1.96+1.19vs Predicted
-
4Wesleyan University2.71-1.31vs Predicted
-
5Maine Maritime Academy1.38+0.21vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College1.50-0.95vs Predicted
-
7McGill University1.06-0.91vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-1.81vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire1.52-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.64Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.89Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
-
4.19University of Connecticut1.960.2%1st Place
-
2.69Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
-
5.21Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
-
5.05Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.09McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
-
6.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
-
5.04University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dunn | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 14.5% |
| Johannes Raatz | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Michael Rottier | 15.5% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| John McGlynn | 31.2% | 25.6% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 7.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 7.6% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 21.0% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 24.9% |
| Will Humphrey | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.