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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brandeis University1.25+4.64vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.96+2.32vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University2.71-1.26vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.50+0.05vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.06-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.52-1.93vs Predicted
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8Amherst College1.69-3.33vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.99-2.85vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.38-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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2.74Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
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5.05Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.94McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.07University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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4.67Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.990.1%1st Place
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5.41Maine Maritime Academy1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dunn | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 13.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 11.8% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| John McGlynn | 32.1% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 21.8% |
| Will Humphrey | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| Johannes Raatz | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Priscilla Stoll | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 23.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.